Thursday 17 September 2020

Non Executive Director Vacancies with EDAS - Applications Deadline 5th October 2020

EDAS is the country's foremost membership-driven association for all organisations and individuals with an interest or role in Scotland's economic development. With an extensive cross sector membership, EDAS supports the development of the knowledge, skills and networks of its near 3,000-strong membership; providing a voice for the economic development profession, and a space in which to learn about and contribute to related policy and good practice. EDAS improves the effectiveness of Scotland’s economic development policy, delivery, and capacity.

We currently have Non-Executive Director vacancies. Although any relevant background will be considered, we are particularly looking for people with expertise or a background in local government or the third sector. We are also aiming to expand the diversity of the Board.

This is an exciting position that requires broad knowledge of Scotland’s economic development community and a commitment to build on the organisation’s success in developing its membership and strategic partnerships, member offerings and CPD, and policy and practice work programme. The Board is seeking directors who will contribute to maintaining the organisation’s track record of sound strategic, operational, and financial management.   

Directorships are unpaid, though expenses will be covered.  The Board meets quarterly and Directors are currently meeting online. Meetings last no more than two hours. There is an expectation that Directors will contribute to one or more sub-groups, which cover Finance and Governance, CPD and Membership, and Policy and Practice.  Directors serve a maximum of four terms of three years and are required to retire and be the subject of re-election every three years.

As a Director of EDAS, you can expect to enjoy making new connections, leading on the development and growth of the organisation, and supporting your professional development.

If you feel that you have the skills and commitment to become a director, please send your CV, detailing two referees, to Elaine Bone 

Closing Date for applications:  Monday, 5th October 2020. Interviews will be held at the end of October and nominations taken to the current Board of Directors thereafter.  The first meeting of the new Board will be held in December.

Tuesday 14 July 2020

Blog: "Scenario thinking for a ‘new normal’" - Ewan Mearns, Scottish Enterprise

Ewan Mearns, Strategy Team
Leader, Scottish Enterprise
and EDAS Board Member

We hear a lot about the ‘new normal’ these days.  But what exactly does this mean?  And do we all have the same interpretation?

The term implies that we would all recognise what the ‘old normal’ looks like.  You know, the routine, stable economic environment where things were predictable, and we could readily create our five-year plans with a high degree of confidence in the future... 

What the phrase ‘new normal’ is really getting at is the concept of uncertainty.  Change is inevitable but there are periods in life where the pace of change is accelerated and the level of uncertainty skyrockets.  We want to gain reassurance by attempting to put a degree of order around something we can name; to get back to ‘business as usual’.

Scottish Enterprise and the Scottish Government have been delivering a scenario engagement process since late April where scenarios have provided a very useful tool to help generate insights about the uncertainties facing us.  Our scenario engagement process featured in a recent EDAS Covid Conversation. 

This is much more than an abstract exercise.  We’re using the insights to directly feed into the Scottish Government’s medium-term Renew Programme, as well as informing SE’s planning for Scotland’s future economy.  From the vantage point of 2025 the perspectives we gain are quite different to today’s pressing concerns of furloughed jobs, precarious businesses and social distancing.  In planning for the future it’s important we take a future-oriented perspective.  Or as Peter Drucker, the great management theorist put it: “The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence itself but to act with yesterday’s logic”.

Covid-19 is at the heart of the critical uncertainties used to frame our four plausible scenarios, both in terms of the relative impact and duration of the pandemic as well as the degree of collaboration within and between countries.  However, the uncertainties that feature in the scenarios cover everything from impacts on inequalities, shifts to new business models, the adoption of new technologies, and geopolitical and technological conflicts between the  US and China.

We designed an online workshop process to explore the potential implications of the scenarios with a wide range of organisations across Scotland.  Over 175 individuals were involved throughout June in exploring 10 policy and delivery themes.  We used the four future scenarios to test the likely robustness of existing policies and plans, and identified ways in which they could be strengthened to accommodate a wider range of uncertainties.

What did we learn?

Without giving too much away – this is a live input to policy thinking – it’s fair to say that across the board, our existing policies and plans were designed for a more benign, less turbulent world.  We need to prepare for a broader range of potential eventualities and build more flexibility and agility into policy making and delivery.  Covid has accelerated a range of structural shifts and laid bare our historic under-investment in infrastructure (particularly digital infrastructure), skills, business innovation and the adoption of new technologies.  Looking ahead, we can anticipate a shifting pattern of global trade relationships and perhaps see business stepping up permanently alongside governments to provide solutions to pressing societal needs.

One of the key issues relates to our collective capacity and capability to anticipate and prepare for future uncertainties.  It’s clear that Covid-19 will be with us for some time yet.  And then there may be similar pandemics – plus the much bigger but much slower-burning crisis that is climate change.
In this context it seems strange to talk about a ‘new normal’.  In fact, following the biggest recession for almost a century, it’s likely to be anything but.  Instead, we need to prepare for a future that remains highly uncertain and abnormal, where resilience is prioritised over efficiency and where agility and leadership are stretched to the limit.  Hold on tight, it’s going to be a bumpy ride.

See more from Ewan at our third Covid Conversation on Future Scenario Planning. 



Blog: "Could Covid-19 be a catalyst for reimagining capitalism?" - Charlie Woods, SUII


Charlie Woods is EDAS's Policy and Practice
sub-group Chair and Director of the
Scottish Universities Insight Institute


Free market capitalism is the greatest source of prosperity the world has ever seen, but capitalism is on the verge of destroying the planet and destabilizing society. The good news is we have both the resources and the technology to build a just and sustainable world – and purpose-driven businesses could be the critical catalyst that drives the kinds of global, systemic changes we need to reimagine capitalism in a way that works for everyone.[1] – Rebecca Henderson



One of the most popular courses at Harvard Business School is ‘Reimagining Capitalism’. Course leader, Rebecca Henderson, and author of a recent book[2] on the subject is hopeful that Covid-19 could be a catalyst for reimagining a more inclusive and sustainable form of capitalism. In a recent talk for Ceres[3] she argues that it could provide the jolt needed to the inertia of business as usual, by providing a stark warning that bad things can happen quickly and without much warning, while also reminding us of how much we depend on each other for our security and survival.

She sees business as having a central role to play in stimulating this re-imagination and making it happen. Although she recognises that markets alone can’t achieve the required outcomes, without the right institutions to provide the legal and regulatory frameworks within which markets operate and the necessary investment in public goods.

Action by individual companies can be an important starting point, demonstrating that it is possible to run a business in a way which respects the environment and benefits society at large while still making money. Co-operation between companies across industries will be critical to scale up the impact, for example in setting supply chain standards and isolating free riders. Finance will also have an vital role to play in investing in firms that are acting sustainably, recognising that it will be impossible to diversify away from risks, such as those associated with climate change, in the long run.

Reform will also needed to ensure the right institutional environment. Henderson identifies the importance of a more participatory democracy and the need to reduce the ability of those with deeper pockets to purchase influence. She senses a growing recognition among far sighted businesses of the need for change in the political environment in which business operates.

It’s sometimes hard to be optimistic given the short term stresses and strains of coping with the immediate health and economic impacts of the Covid pandemic. However, the recovery phase does offer opportunities for improvement. There are reasons to be hopeful that purposeful businesses working alongside public and third sector institutions can build a fairer, healthier and more sustainable society - but they can’t be taken for granted.


Wednesday 17 June 2020

Blog: 'Where now for construction in Scotland?', Chris Kelly - EKOS Ltd

As the construction sector looks set to gradually emerge from the shutdown, this short paper from Chris Kelly, EKOS and EDAS Board member considers some of the issues which may impact on the future of the construction sector in Scotland. 

There are three issues of critical importance that need to be at the forefront of supporting the recovery of the construction sector: innovation, skills, and low carbon and the green economy

See full paper here

Source: EKOS Consultants 

Wednesday 3 June 2020

Common Weal Launches Resilience Economics


Common Weal today launches Resilience Economics, an economic framework for rebuilding Scotland's economy post-virus (read the full report here  or the summary here ). The report is backed by a list of leading economists including Costas Lapavistas, Professor of economics at the School of Oriental and African Studies, Mike Danson Professor of Enterprise Policy at Heriot Watt University,  Giorgos Kallis ecological economist and research Professor at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and Steve Keen, Professor of Economics and Head of the School of Economics, Politics and History at Kingston University.

This report, previewed by Douglas Fraser here, and covered in The National here and here, provides the framework Scotland needs if it is serious about 'building back better'. It is a body of economic theories which come together to form a coherent and comprehensive response to the moment in which we find ourselves – but it is also a repair for the economic failures that have burdened us and a solution to the climate crisis ahead.


It is called 'Resilience Economics' because it's about our ability to face change without the economy toppling over every time. We've had two major crises in just over ten years and our economy has barely coped with either. This can't keep happening, because climate change, resource depletion, the loss of biodiversity and constant pollution (including plastic pollution) mean more shocks to our economy are inevitable. An economy that hurts its own citizens every time change comes isn't the economy we need.

This report is not an action plan; we will start to launch that in the coming weeks. This is an explanation of what we want to achieve. A resilient Scottish economy will produce much more of what we consume. This will drive an entire industry using Scotland's copious natural resources to make high-quality, environmentally-responsible goods and materials. This will stimulate extended supply chain industries which will also be engaged in productive manufacture. These new industry sectors will create new jobs which are more productive and higher skilled and so better paid and more secure. This will be delivered by many more Scottish-owned businesses and will be rapidly stimulated by the the government and its agencies implementing a concerted plan to make it happen.

Essential elements of our life like housing, energy, food and public services will be managed in a different way than the non-essential parts of the economy where regulated free markets are appropriate. As these high-pay industry sectors develop, the low pay sectors which are failing now will be allowed to decline and new and expanding domestic businesses will be supported to 'creatively adapt' to fill the new opportunities and bring better replacement jobs. This will all be underpinned by a commitment to end environmental damage and create much greater job security for workers through a return to industrial democracy.

Because a Resilient Economy must be more productive and useful and replace low-pay and insecure jobs with high-pay, secure ones. It will do much more to prioritise domestic productive business over corporations and help and encourage those businesses to develop themselves as part of a new green economy. Property price inflation will be brought under control so excessive rents and mortgages don’t undermine the economy again. Banking will safe and boring so that a reliable and resilient banking sector can be trusted to provide crucial services.

We will reduce the volume of commercial retail and to transition away from a reliance on the low-pay service sector through a major programme of green reindustrialisation and increasing domestic manufacturing capacity, driven in large part by land-based industries making proper and responsible use of Scotland's copious natural resources. An ‘entrepreneurial state’ will implement a national industrial strategy to substantially increase the proportion of our economy which is domestically owned. Nothing in Scotland’s recovery and its subsequent reindustialisation process would be considered if it does not decrease economic inequality and poverty. We will therefore measure the success of the economy in a much more balanced way and focus on quality of life rather than corporate profits.

This is the start of change. This foundation means we need not fear what is to come, that we should greet it with enthusiasm, confident that Scotland can not only cope but thrive. We just need to leave behind the old economic tools which brought us here and accept that it is time for something new.

So download the report here and give it a read. We hope you're inspired and ready for the big launch. Sign up here to join over 1000 others to become a volunteer for our biggest campaign yer. 

Source: Common Weal

Launch of new Economics Observatory

Today, a new website has been launched – the Economics Observatory (ECO) – that aims to offer insights into the economics of the Covid-19 crisis and the recovery.

The initiative, funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), draws on the expertise of economists from over 25 universities and research institutions from across the UK.

You can access the website at the following link – https://coronavirusandtheeconomy.com/

The Fraser of Allander Institute is part of this new exciting initiative. Professor Graeme Roy is a Lead Editor on the project, and Dr Stuart McIntyre a contributing author and editor.

The briefings are written for policy-makers, the media, the public, students and teachers who are interested in the economics of Covid-19 and the implications for households, organisations and public policy.

The website already features some interesting briefings, including:

  • The epidemic and the economy: what are the trade-offs? The Covid-19 health emergency has caused economic havoc on a scale not seen in living memory. It is important to understand the interactions between the epidemic and the economy to be able to deal with the difficult trade-offs facing policy-makers and the public.
  • When should schools re-open? Countries in Europe and elsewhere have taken very different strategies to getting children back to school after closures. What are the difficulties in making decisions about re-opening? And why is there so much variation among national approaches?
  • How will the Covid-19 crisis affect the NHS? The lockdown was implemented largely to ‘save lives and protect the NHS’ amid fears of capacity being overwhelmed. What are likely to be the effects of the crisis on the supply of NHS healthcare, and on demand for healthcare, now and in the future?
  • Why is uncertainty so damaging for the economy? The Covid-19 pandemic and policy responses have made life much more uncertain for everyone – individuals, organisations and governments. What impact does all this uncertainty have on the economy and how can policy-makers respond?
  • Will Scotland’s economy be hit more or less than the UK as a whole? Just like elsewhere else, Scotland’s economy is facing unprecedented stress from the Covid-19 crisis. How it performs in the months ahead will depend on the policy choices of Scottish ministers – and how these differ, complement or cut across UK-wide policies.
  • Which firms and industries have been most affected by lockdown? Almost all UK businesses have been badly affected by the crisis, but some industries have been hit harder than others. Financial market data and surveys of firms themselves provide insights into the scale of the impact on sales, employment, supply chains and business uncertainty.
  • What is the likely future role of the state in the UK economy? Economic distress caused by the pandemic, the lockdown and the recession have required a big increase in public spending. How has the crisis affected the size of the state and the effectiveness of government policy?
  • How is the crisis affecting inequalities across ethnic groups? There are growing concerns that the UK’s ethnic minorities are suffering disproportionately as a result of the pandemic – in terms of both their higher mortality risks and the worse economic outcomes for some groups.
  • What are the lessons for today from running a wartime economy? The world continues to experience episodes that remind us of the profound disruptions of twentieth-century wartime. But how far does the war analogy stretch? Covid-19 has been able to disrupt our economy at a speed that no foreign enemy has ever matched.

How to help with the ECO
If you are an academic interested in contributing to this portal, please get in touch with Fraser of Allander.

Who’s all involved:

  • Romesh Vaitilingam is Editor-in-Chief of ECO – and the lead editors are:
  • Tim Besley (LSE)
  • Jagjit Chadha(National Institute of Economic and Social Research, NIESR)
  • Diane Coyle(University of Cambridge)
  • Rachel Griffith (Institute for Fiscal Studies and University of Manchester)
  • Michael McMahon (University of Oxford)
  • Carol Propper (Imperial College Business School)
  • Imran Rasul(University College London)
  • Graeme Roy(Fraser of Allander Institute, University of Strathclyde)
  • Sarah Smith (University of Bristol)
  • John Turner (Queen’s University Belfast).


For more details, please visit: https://coronavirusandtheeconomy.com/

Source: Fraser of Allander Institute News

Tuesday 2 June 2020

Blog: "Inclusive Growth: Finding Lost Einsteins" - Charlie Woods, SUII




Charlie Woods is EDAS's Policy and Practice
sub-group Chair and Director of the
Scottish Universities Insight Institute

“…there are many “lost Einsteins”…especially among women, minorities, and children from low-income families.”[1]

The contribution of more inclusive and equitable development to wellbeing and social justice is well recognised. Perhaps the impact on economic progress is less well appreciated. Indeed it is sometimes assumed there is a trade-off between strong economic performance and equality, sometimes referred to as efficiency v equity[2].

There is an increasing amount of evidence that there need not be a trade-off, indeed there can be considerable synergy between the two. For example, secure, fair employment, where employees having a stake in the business, can help boost innovation and productivity. Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson[3] have argued this type of relationship is at the heart of economic development processes and distinguish between the long term performance of ‘inclusive’ and ‘extractive’ economies.

The IMF have highlighted that inequality can be damaging to economic performance.[4] A recent book[5] by Heather Boushey of the Washington Centre for Equitable Growth focusses on how inequality ‘obstructs, subverts and distorts’ economic growth. For example, as inequality lowers aggregate demand because the better off have a lower propensity consume and save more than those at the bottom end of the income distribution. Inequality also forces the less well off into debt to finance consumption and can help make the economy more precarious and less resilient.

She also cites a relatively recent study by Alex Bell and others, that adds a further interesting dimension to this issue. By analysing data from patent records in the US and linking them to tax records, they found that children’s chances of becoming inventors are heavily influenced by characteristics at birth, such as their race, gender, and parents’ socioeconomic class. Children from families in the top 1% of income were 10 times more likely to become inventors as those from below-median income families.

Even more tellingly they found that these gaps persisted even among children who performed similarly in maths tests in early childhood - maths ability was found to be highly predictive of innovation success in later life. This suggests that there is likely to be significant innovative potential being stifled through inequality and it led them to coin the term ‘lost Einsteins’ to capture this waste.

It is further evidence of the need to see increased equality not just as an important goal to improve wellbeing and social justice, but as a contributor to more innovation, higher productivity and better economic performance.


[1] Who Becomes an Inventor in America? The Importance of Exposure to Innovation - Alex Bell,  Raj Chetty,  Xavier Jaravel,  Neviana Petkova,  John Van Reenen -The Quarterly Journal of Economics (May 2019)
[3] Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson - Why Nations Fail (2012)
[5] Unbound: How Inequality Constricts Our Economy and What We Can Do About ItHeather Boushey (2019)

Blog: Susan Love, FSB Scotland



Susan Love is an EDAS Board Member
and Policy Manager for FSB Scotland


During the Covid crisis, local social media has come into its own, not least as the go-to source of information about toilet roll or flour availability! Shared with almost as much enthusiasm have been the stories about local businesses and organisations going above and beyond. Every community has seen examples of small businesses manufacturing PPE or hand sanitiser, donating equipment and refreshments to care homes and key workers, or working with local charities to provide meals for vulnerable citizens. Undoubtedly, small firms have played a remarkable role in local communities.

Perhaps the most striking change has been our increased reliance on local businesses, particularly for food and drink. While once we preferred the convenience of shopping in one place, we now seek out reliable supplies of products and responsive, home delivery services to avoid any unnecessary contact.  

Working for an organisation representing thousands of small businesses across Scotland, it’s not surprising that I’ve become a new customer of even more local businesses in recent weeks. I know I’m not alone, as business organisations and local authorities alike are promoting lists of local firms who’ve nimbly changed their business model to begin, or expand, online and home delivery services. Butchers, greengrocers, bakeries, breweries, coffee roasters, grocers - too many to list - have provided a lifeline for so many who can’t shop in the usual way.

For years FSB has highlighted the importance of having resilient, diverse local economies and perhaps now we can be confident about the value of reliable, shorter supply chains. As priorities shift in local economic development - as they certainly will - not least in supporting new business and employment opportunities, a much stronger focus is required on working with the small businesses providing core services and products in our communities. We have undervalued their contribution for too long.


Wednesday 27 May 2020

Skills Development Scotland: Vital Extra Support for Workers and Learners

People whose work or learning has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic can access support through enhanced career and employment services.

National skills agency Skills Development Scotland, working in partnership with local authorities, has developed services for individuals in a range of circumstances, including furloughed workers and those looking for employment.

School pupils and their parents and carers can also access a wide range of support as they consider their options, whether staying on or preparing to leave school.

Recognising the wide range of services available nationally and locally, SDS is working with partners to ensure people can find and access the right support at the right time.

A wealth of  information and advice can be accessed through Scotland’s national online service My World of Work, including a range of learning courses and immediately available jobs. There’s also support with developing your CV, skills tools, applying for jobs and links to local support as a wide range of services are provided by local authorities to help people progress towards Fair Work.

In these challenging times it is more important than ever that people in need of careers support – be they furloughed workers, those looking for employment or school pupils worried about their learning – can access the services they need.
- Business, Fair Work and Skills Minister Jamie Hepburn 

As well as its existing support, SDS is offering direct access to free one-to-one career support with expert advisers over the telephone.

Business, Fair Work and Skills Minister, Jamie Hepburn said: “In these challenging times it is more important than ever that people in need of careers support – be they furloughed workers, those looking for employment or school pupils worried about their learning – can access the services they need.

“I’m pleased that Skills Development Scotland, in partnership with local authorities, is providing this additional expert advice, enabling people to access support safely during the lockdown. I would encourage anyone who needs help to find out more at myworldofwork.co.uk.”

A wealth of information and advice can be accessed through Scotland’s national online service My World of Work, including a range of learning courses and immediately available jobs. There’s also support with developing your CV, skills tools, applying for jobs and links to local support as a wide range of services are provided by local authorities to help people progress towards Fair Work.

Getting the right support has never been more important. People can also receive one to one guidance from expert careers advisers which will help them make the right choices now and for the future.”
-James Russell, Director of Career, Information, Advice & Guidance Operations at SDS

Cllr Kelly Parry, the COSLA Spokesperson for Community Wellbeing, said “I am delighted that this national initiative has been developed in partnership with Local Government and that the helpline’s integration with local advice and support has been prioritised. It provides a great opportunity for joined up support to help people affected by crisis and as part of the coming recovery phase”.

James Russell, Director of Career, Information, Advice & Guidance Operations at SDS, said: 
“Getting the right support has never been more important, which is why SDS is working with our National and Local Authority partners to provide information and advice on the range of support and services available for people in Scotland. People can also receive one to one guidance from expert careers advisers which will help them make the right choices now and for the future.”

Wednesday 13 May 2020

Guest blog: What Should We Value about Retailing and Towns and What Should We Do About Them? - Prof Leigh Sparks, University of Stirling

If they look beyond heroic individualism and accept that individuals exist in a network of social bonds and obligations, we might just see a real realignment” (James Kirkup, Why did Boris Johnson survive? Unherd, 15th April 2020)
This blog is reproduced with thanks to Prof Leigh Sparks, Professor of Retail Studies at the Institute for Retail Studies and Chair of Scotland's Towns Partnership. More detail is available at: www.stirlingretail.com.

Ok, the quote above is taken from a very different context and meant in a different political way, but it sums up some of my views about what we are seeing in retailing and the evidence over the recent weeks that place has become more important to more people than ever before. Can we really be satisfied with the retailing system and the towns (high streets, town centres) we have, once the dust sort of settles from the pandemic? I hope not.
The retail system in the UK is broken in many ways.  It works for quite a lot of people most of the time, but mainly the affluent and the car-borne, though not for all and when it works, it does so at the expense of both society and local economies.  It is not sustainable in the broadest sense and does not meet the obligations we must now accept for rebuilding our future. Our towns, places and hogh streets are broken. We have accepted the ways things have been for many years, in the pursuit of low prices and the often false god of economic productivity.  Our retailers have become dis-associated from their local markets, consumers and places and even more distant from many of the suppliers on which they rely. This has recently been seen to be especially so in terms of food retailing and the clothing and fashion sector, though in different ways, but it is true across the sector and the country.
COVID-19 must alter our perceptions and challenge our willingness to accept this ‘bargain’. We deserve better in so many ways.
Now, this is not to say that multiple and large scale retailing does not have its place; it does. Nor is it to argue that the just-in-time supply system in food failed under the weight of binge-buying ahead of lockdown. The response from many such retailers, producers and supply systems has been impressive and the recovery effective. Consumers have gained and do gain benefit from the operation of large retailers. But do they pay their way and should they be more responsible (to producers, consumers, suppliers, places, communities) in their dealings? More fundamentally should we engineer more of a balance in the system in order to provide properly for more of our population? This is also not just about providing economically, but also socially (the network of social bonds that retailing should be part of).
So, what might we want our retail sector to look like?
  1. It needs to be a system that works for all of our population and not just for some. Food banks are not an acceptable component of any advanced economic system and the presence of so much food poverty is a national scandal.  We need an enhanced local focus, reducing dependency on long, complex, supply chains. The pandemic has highlighted the inequality we knew was there, but we kept wanting to forget about.
  2. Local has to be a major focus of our system. This is about local neighbourhoods and places as well as the local supply chains and assets that are required to break our over-dependence on international and distant supply.  A renewed focus on community, support and place has been demonstrable in recent weeks and we need to build on this. The plight of many artisan and local producers, unable to supply their normal markets of food service and restaurants, should be a wake up call. We have great local producters and products across the UK, and we should be seeking to support them by opening up local markets and encouraging the focus on local consumers. This is true of food and also non-food producers. We must connect better our producers and our consumers, and this is best done in towns and town centres.
  3. This implies a rebalanced sector with switches from national multiple chains to local and independent operations; from physical to digital taxation and from a reliance on the car and out-of-town stores to in-town and neighbourhood stores and markets. It suggests a new relationship with quality and sourcing (and in food, our diet) and an underpinning need to enable people to access this physically and economically.
We have proven through the last six weeks or so, that previously impossible solutions, are not that, and that we can rethink our approach and systems. We can not go back to what has been failing us generally; we need to be bold and rethink these relationships and redefine what is acceptable.
My focus above has been mainly on food retailing, but the issue is broader than that. If we are serious about supporting “the high street” and town centres, as so many claim, then this is the opportunity to rebalance to focus on what we value and thus what we should be active in encouraging and discouraging; one or the other is not an option.
If we accept that, then what measures could we take to make this happen?  Some initial thoughts might include:
  1. A rebalancing of taxation between digital and physical modes of retail supply. Online has exapnded during this crisis and given the probable future for social distancing and other crowd based activities, many of those who have used online, may well continue to use it. This is a reflection of the changing nature of the economy and as such we need to rebalance taxation to accept and reflect what has now changed in business operations. If we want physical stores we have to stop taxing them out of business, whilst allowing others a free pass at using, but not paying for common good (such as the roads they currently use for delivery). International tax avoidance should be stopped; behaving in that way should abrogate the right to operate in this country. This is not to try to end online, but to reflect its true costs and also the changing nature of business.
  2. Immediate substantial increases in income for ‘key workers’ and those currently marginalised in our economy. We have demonstrated that these people and jobs have real value to the operations of our economy and society (including obviously health and care workers, but also shop workers). We should not limit our thanks to a weekly clap and forget that many are living precariously in so many cases. They require a susbstantial increase in living wages, linked with a more progressive taxation system (on individuals and businesses), to take people out of the current poverty cycle and to provide them the wherewithall to prosper, not simply exist.
  3. Disincentivise retail components damaging the concept of place and not paying their true social and economic costs e.g. out-of-town car focused stores. The current lockdown has seen the rediscovery of local and community, often focused around place. Activities that damage place need to be challenged and refocused. Some of this can be done by fair taxation (including abolition of rates for high street independent retailers), reflecting the true economic and social cost (fresh air now there is much reduced traffic anyone?) and some might need to be by more direct challenge to their right of operation. If businesses are damaging communities in the broadest sense should they have a right to continue to operate?
  4. Change the VAT system so as to reward the reuse of historical and existing buildings rather than as currently happens rewarding new build on often greenfield sites. It is crazy that we actively benefit those that destroy our built heritage, providing them with a cost and competitive advantage over existing operations and buildings.
  5. Allied to this there needs to be substantial economic protection and support for independent producers and retailers so as to encourage their sustainability and growth and reduce the burden they face. If we value the local and entrepreneurial, then we need to show our support for them. We are saying that convenience stores and local independents have done a fabulous job in the pandemic; then let’s show it afterwards by making the “playing field” rather more level. The proportion of their spend made in local areas is far higher; they are the glue of the social networks we claim to value (as they have shown over the last few weeks).
  6. Requirements on retailers of all sizes and scale to demonstrate their ‘local’ credentials in terms of procurement and product and service supply. Too often local has been managed (if considered at all) by a few nods to local employment and some pictures of vaguely local producers in store. If we are willing to support local businesses through our taxation and licensing system, then we need mechanisms and measures to demonstrate that localness. This is not only in people, but in products, services, community payback and other measures of local community good that build places rather than extracting value.
  7. Financial and managerial support should also be provided for local markets on a regular basis, with ‘local’ (and ‘farmers’ and “fishers” for food) being defined terms and a responsibility on local authorities to provide space and opportunity for such markets on a regular basis. Some of this would be physical as markets are inherently social, but strong encouragement for local collective and community supply is needed, whether physical and/or virtual. This must not be a burden on local authorities that is unfunded but a funded requirement.
As I noted at the outset, none of this is to deny the important role of mass retailing and production; this is about a rebalancing, not an abolition of the approach. But the retail (and especially the food) system has failed us, and no amount of post COVID-19 ‘back to normal’ rhetoric should be accepted. The “old normal” did not supply or nourish the nation in the way it should; we now have to be able to feed our country on a sustainable healthy basis and build a sustainable future, focused around towns and place.  This will require a radical shift in thinking and operations.
These suggestions address the concept of place, the high street, and what we should be valuing about such core social and economic spaces. If we want to have flourishing towns then we need to support them, not by handouts to repair and rebuild, or exortations to understand and manage (as important as these are), but also by demonstrating that we are serious about stopping damaging activities elsewhere and refocusing on building locations, not extracting value.
The world has changed. Ending lockdown and returning to the old ways is not an acceptable way forward. We have seen that alternative futures and ways of doing things are possible. We have to take this opportunity to change our towns and places for the better.

Reproduced with thanks to Prof Leigh Sparks, Professor of Retail Studies at the Institute for Retail Studies and Chair of Scotland's Towns Partnership. More detail is available at: www.stirlingretail.com.

Blog: "COVID-19: How round will the future be?" - Charlie Woods, SUII


Charlie Woods is EDAS's Policy and Practice
sub-group Chair and Director of the
Scottish Universities Insight Institute

A starting point for beginning to reimagine a post Covid economy is to look at the processes that underlie economic activity, such as the supply chains, which encompass consumption, production, financing, distribution and exchange. Globalisation has tended to lead to ever extended chains, relying on ‘just in time’ supply, as companies look to increase efficiency and become more competitive.

The response to the pandemic has severely tested the resilience and effectiveness of some of these chains. As restrictions are lifted and demand begins to pick up it wouldn’t be a surprise to see these processes coming under increased scrutiny[1]. This is likely to focus initially on increasing resilience to future shocks, but it could also be an opportunity to review how current arrangements perform relative to other goals, such as sustainability and wellbeing.

The metaphor of a supply chain implies a linear production process, which can be characterised as ‘take, make and dispose’. Perhaps the future will look much more circular as greater attention is given to reducing non-renewable inputs and reducing the disposal of waste in the natural environment (as illustrated in the diagram below from Zero Waste Scotland[2] in relation to CO2). It has been argued that such an approach offers opportunities to help both planet and profit[3].





The concept of a rounder economy is also at the heart of ‘Doughnut Economics’[4]. A term coined by Kate Raworth to get across the idea of an economy that provides a necessary social foundation for human wellbeing, while respecting the natural constraints of the planet. The ‘doughnut’ is the sweet spot between the two goals. And is illustrated in the diagram below. The diagram also shows the degree to which the social foundation is currently being missed, while the environmental constraints are being overshot.




If the overall objective is sustainable wellbeing, then a focus on wider social and environmental measures may give a better indication of how well the economy is contributing to this. This may then allow you to look at how different approaches to organising an economy work in terms of achieving desired ends.

This is the approach the Social Progress Imperative[5] have taken in developing their index of social progress. They don’t use any purely economic measures in constructing the index. Instead they look at 51 indicators across three broad categories (see below): basic human needs, the foundations of wellbeing (including environmental quality), and opportunity.






In these approaches increasing productivity remains at the heart of development, but more attention is focussed on overall resource productivity, alongside the distribution of wealth and income within and between countries resulting from increased productivity.

If we do move towards a rounder, more sustainable, wellbeing economy, what might be some of its characteristics? They could include:

·         A greater focus on the prevention of social and environmental problems to improve outcomes and reduce expenditure and less on more costly amelioration
·         A more stable financial system geared to realising economic potential to generate social returns
·         Investment and innovation focussed on a zero carbon transformation and renewable resources
·         Carbon costs and other positive and negative externalities being internalised to influence incentives for consumers and producers
·         More local production/sub-contracting and greater decentralisation of decisions – to provide more resilience in a crisis and give a greater sense of agency
·         Widen ownership and control of assets to spread returns and give more people a stake in success
·         A strong partnership between the private, public and third sectors to stimulate investment, address externalities and ensure a fairer distribution of opportunities and outcomes

One consequence of the experience of coping with Covid-19 might also be greater global cooperation to tackle other cross border issues such as the climate emergency. The framework for this cooperating already exists in the form of the UN’s Agenda 2030 and associated Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)[7], summarised in the graphic below. These goals, agreed in 2015, already influence policy and practice around the world, for example they underpin Scotland’s National Performance Framework[7].


A key challenge in pursuing the goals is to understand the way in which complex socio-economic systems interact, generating both positive synergies and negative trade-offs. The operation and design of supply chains (or their rounder equivalents) could play an important role in this, bringing together many of the goals. For example:

·         The use of natural resources and the disposal of waste (SDGs 12, 14, 15)
·         The skills and conditions of workers throughout the chain (SDGs 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 10)
·         Innovation, production and distribution processes (SDGs 7, 9, 12, 13)
·         Reuse and recycling of products  (SDGs 11, 13, 14, 15)
·         Trading arrangements (SDGs 16, 17)
·         Supply chain resilience (SDGs 3, 9)


Developing the economy post Covid is going be extremely challenging in the short term as places struggle to rebuild and recover, however, the interruption caused by the pandemic also offers a longer term opportunity to reimagine and restructure a rounder, more sustainable and inclusive economy, with wellbeing at its core.






[3] The Circular Economy Handbook - Realizing the Circular Advantage, Peter Lacy et al (2020)